PSI (Population Stability Index) is the most common metric for monitoring input-distribution drift, quantifying the binned divergence between the baseline (e.g. training) distribution and the current one:
PSI=∑i(Ai−Bi)lnBiAi, where
Ai is the share of actual samples falling in bin
i and
Bi the expected share; bins are typically deciles of the baseline distribution, empty actual bins are merged with neighbors to avoid division by zero, and PSI is essentially a symmetrized KL divergence. Rule of thumb:
PSI<0.1 stable;
0.1≤PSI<0.25 needs investigation;
PSI≥0.25 signals significant drift and triggers retraining. Two drift types: covariate drift (
P(X) changed, e.g. a new customer mix) and concept drift (
P(Y∣X) changed, e.g. default rates rose during COVID).